Whether or not the voters take into account the Houston Astros cheating scandal will be the biggest topic of discussion. Ballots must be postmarked by December 31 (yes, the BBWAA still does this by mail). Todd Helton played for 17 years in the majors. He finished 12th in National League Cy Young Award voting in 2010 and also won a Gold Glove Award that year. (Jon SooHoo/Los Angeles Dodgers). 3) Can Rolen ride his momentum into the Hall? Silver Sluggers as well as the 2002 AL batting title. Some defensive statistics Copyright Sports Info Solutions, 2010-2023. On Jan. 24, the BBWAA will announce the results of its 2023 Hall of Fame vote live from Cooperstown on MLB Network at 6 p.m. Jake listed the statistical portion of the argument for K-Rod but I want to explain the logistics of his case a bit more. First year on the ballotPlayed 20 seasons with the Royals, Astros, Mets, Giants, Cardinals, Yankees and RangersNine-time All-Star, three-time Gold Glove Award winner in the outfield and two-time Silver Slugger Award winnerNamed 1999 American League Rookie of the YearFinished in the Top 10 of his leagues Most Valuable Player voting twice: 2003 (9th) and 2006 (4th)Hit .300-or-better in four seasons (2001, 2003, 2009, 2011), drove in 100-or-more runs seven times (1999, 2001-04, 2006-08), scored 100-or-more runs six times (1999, 2001-04, 2006,2008) and reached the 20-homer mark 12 times (1999, 2001-04, 2006-08, 2011-13, 2016)Stole 312 bases, including two seasons (2003-04) with more than 40 stealsCareer stolen base success rate of 86.43 percent is top figure ever for any player with at least 300 stealsOne of only four players in history with at least 1,500 runs scored, 2,700 hits, 400 home runs and 300 steals (along with Barry Bonds, Willie Mays and lex Rodrguez)Won 2013 Roberto Clemente AwardRanks 25th all-time with 1,078 career extra base hits, 29th with 565 career doubles, 34th with 4,751 total basesHit .307 with a 1.021 OPS in 15 series Postseason series over seven seasons, totaling 45 runs scored, 16 homers and 42 RBI over 65 gamesHit four home runs in 2004 NLDS and NLCS, becoming the only player with at least four home runs in two series in one year and one of three players, along with Jim Thome and Duke Snider, with multiple postseason series of at least four home runsMember of 2017 Astros World Series title team. MLB Tonight crew discusses where Shohei Ohtani may land in free agency after the 2023 season and if he can keep up as a two-way player. 1) Beltrn on the ballot Carlos Beltrn is the headliner of the players on the ballot for the first time this year. Several surpris. Total Zone Rating and initial framework for Wins above Replacement calculations provided by Sean Smith. Four times (including once with Houston), he finished in the top five for the Cy Young, and another time finished sixth. Sheffield was a wee bit of a liability in the field (Baseball-Reference docks 27.7 WAR for his, uh, lack of defense), but man, could he hit. First year on the ballotPitched 15 seasons for Angels, Red Sox, Cardinals and CubsPosted double-digit win totals in all but one season his rookie year of 2002, when he went 9-4 and finished fourth in the AL Rookie of the Year voting while helping the Angels win the World SeriesReceived Cy Young Award votes in two seasons: 2007 (3rd) and 2015 (9th)Named to 2007 All-Star Game in a season where he led the American League in ERA (3.01) and shutouts (two)Also led AL with two shutouts in 2003 and 2006Topped 200-innings pitched mark in six seasons (2003, 2005-07, 2010, 2015)Appeared in 19 Postseason series over 10 seasons (9 LDS, 7 LCS and 3 World Series), posting 8-6 record with 3.44 ERAMember of three World Series-winning teams: 2002 Angels (when he started and won Game 7), 2013 Red Sox and 2016 Cubs. Previously a sports researcher at Sky Sports, he then moved into live broadcasts and on-air promotions. Over his career, Pettitte reached three All-Star Games while winning five World Series with the Yankees. For information on how to sponsor a Hugs for Cubs kid in 2023, visit www.sbforesters.org or write to info@sbforesters.org. Matt Cain pitched 13 seasons, all for the Giants. Hitters: Jacoby Ellsbury, Andre Ethier, J.J. Hardy, Mike Napoli, Jhonny Peralta, Jayson Werth, Pitchers: Bronson Arroyo, Matt Cain, R.A. Dickey, John Lackey, Huston Street, Jered Weaver, eight-man ballot that was released earlier this month. His connection to performance-enhancing drugs could keep his vote totals low, though hes another candidate who may benefit from Bonds, Clemens and Schilling falling off the BBWAA ballot. Im not one to be beholden to the morals clause or whatever the Hall sanctimoniously calls it, but I think that clause would have to be more than just he wasnt nice. And I think thats what is keeping Kent out. Davis Byrd: No name jumps off the page past Beltrn immediately and none of the first timers will be elected this year. Derek Jeter is a lock, and Ted Simmons and . With controversial figures Barry Bonds, Curt Schilling, Sammy Sosa, and Roger Clemens no longer eligible, select analysts from The Athletes Hub will answer questions surrounding this year's intriguing line-up which includes returning superstars Alex . * 21+ (19+ CA-ONT) (18+ NH/WY). Relievers are a tricky case and there are mixed opinions about their validity for the Hall of Fame. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. Brett . Not only is he one of only two switch-hitting outfielders ever to come to the plate at least 10,000 times since integration, but he also owns a career wRC+ higher than all but Chipper Jones, Eddie Murray, and Tim Raines (all Hall-of-Famers) among switch hitters that meet that criteria. Rolen is on the ballot for the sixth time in 2023. We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. A big issue with this line of thinking is that it would mean he would be a Hall-of-Famer if he just retired at 30, which makes no sense. Although only receiving 10.2% in his first year (2018, the year fellow 3rd baseman Chipper Jones stormed into the HOF with 97.2% on his first attempt), Rolen has seen his stock steadily climb as he hit 63.2% in 2022. With the 2020-21 NHL season underway, we more or less have our class of new eligibles for the 2023 Hall of Fame locked in. Many consider Jones more of a glove first guy while not having the offensive numbers to fit the bill. Here is a partial list of eligible first-time players for upcoming Hall of Fame elections: 2023: Carlos Beltrn, John Lackey, Francisco Rodrguez, Jayson Werth. During that season, in which he finished as the runner-up in NL MVP Award balloting, Jones crushed 51 dingers and drove in 128 runs, resulting in career-highs in wRC+ (134) and fWAR (7.9). But with a career ERA of 3.92 and 188 career wins, Lackey should stay on the ballot for a few years after a 15-season career. The remaining returning candidates are Manny Ramirez (28.9 percent last year, seventh ballot in 2023), Omar Vizquel (23.9 percent, sixth ballot), Andy Pettitte (10.7 percent, fifth ballot), Jimmy Rollins (9.4 percent, second ballot), Bobby Abreu (8.6 percent, fourth ballot), Mark Buehrle (5.8 percent, third ballot) and Torii Hunter (5.3 percent, third ballot). Somewhat surprisingly, over his career, Rolen posted the same bWAR as did Beltrn: 70.1. Jayson Werth played in 15 seasons with Blue Jays, Dodgers, Phillies and Nationals, winning the World Series with Philadelphia in 2008. In 15 seasons, John Lakey posted double-digit win totals in all but one. On January 24th, the Baseball Writers' Association of America will unveil what players they've chosen for Cooperstown. Amazingly, those 10 Gold Glove Awards came in consecutive years, making him one of just 11 players to capture at least 10 consecutive Gold Glove Awards. MLB Hall of Fame 2022 Inductee Odds, Picks and Predictions. In terms of WAR, Beltrn stands out as the eighth-best center fielder of all time with 70.1 bWAR, putting him in between Joe DiMaggio and Kenny Lofton among his peers. (Michael Ivins/Boston Red Sox). The only player on his 10th and final ballot this year is Jeff Kent, an All-Star second baseman and the 2000 National League MVP, who received 32.7 percent of the vote last year. I hope both guys make it this year, but Im more confident in Rolen. Which players joined the ballot for the first time? Eighth year on the ballotPitched 16 seasons with Astros, Phillies, Mets, Red Sox and BravesFinished Top 10 in NL Cy Young Award voting twice (1999-4th, 2006-6th)Recorded 422 career saves, second-highest among left-handed relievers and sixth overallCareer walks-plus-hits-per-innings-pitched ratio (WHIP) of 0.998 is lowest among all retired relievers with at least 700 innings pitchedCareer 2.31 ERA is lowest among retired left-handed pitchers with at least 500 innings pitched in live ball eraSeven-time All-Star (1999, 2001, 2003, 2005, 2007-08, 2010)Won 1999 NL Rolaids Relief AwardLed NL in games finished twice (2003, 2005), and finished among league top five in saves four times (1999, 2003, 2006, 2010)Set record (since surpassed) for highest single-season-strikeout-per-nine innings rate among relievers (14.95) in 1999Recorded 12 seasons with 20-plus saves, nine seasons with 30-or-more and two with 40-or more (2003, 2006)Finished no-hitter that included six Astros pitchers vs. Yankees on June 11, 2003 Appeared in eight Postseason series over seven seasons with Astros, Mets, Red Sox and Braves, posting 1-1 record with three saves and 10.03 ERA in 14 games. Finally, my last problem with the Hall of Fame is Bud Selig. A players case can grow exponentially from year to year as ballots clear up, voters look harder at resumes, and that dreaded 10th year arrises. A player must receive 75 percent of the writers' vote to get in. Guys like A-Rod and Manny have no shot. A Rolen election would be a massive W for the sabermetric crowd, and would give them enough of a reason to start electing far weaker candidates because their "sabermetric stats" are good, eventually turning the Baseball Hall of Fame into the Basketball Hall of Fame (a place were a just-decent-enough player can be a serious Hall of Fame . We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. His career bWAR of 62.7 is the 14th-most recorded by a center fielder and his JAWS score of 54.6 places him as the 11th-most deserving of enshrinement at his position. The first, and most obvious, label of excellence was his abilities in the field. Whoever gets the nod will be inducted, alongside Fred McGriff (more on him later), on July 23rd. provided to the Baseball Writers of America Association. Here are 15 predictions to ring in 2023. Odds & lines subject to change. Any electees will be inducted during Hall of Fame Weekend on Sunday, July 23, at 1:30 p.m. on the grounds of the Clark Sports Center in Cooperstown. . Beltrn probably wont make it this year, but should eventually. Will A-Rod follow a similar trajectory to those two -- all-time greats who ultimately fell short of being voted into the Hall? On the other hand, in "The Politics of Glory," Bill James' 1994 book on the Baseball Hall of Fame, James predicted Steve Garvey, Al Oliver, Dave Parker, Jim Kaat, Ted Simmons, Dale Murphy, Jack . Besides Rolen, Helton (52%) and Wagner (51%) are the only returning players who got at least half the vote on the 2022 ballot. To be a new eligible in 2023, a player must have played their last pro . (National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum). Please also read our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019. A . First, a player must be retired for four full seasons. So this year should see a sizeable jump for the 256-game winner and five-time World Champion whose name is synonymous with the Yankee legacy from 1996 to 2003. Scott Rolen, who's now in his sixth year of eligibility, looks like he'll get into the Hall of Fame eventually maybe sooner rather than later. 2022-23 NBA MVP Is Officially A Five-Man Race. With some big names off the ballot, it's difficult to know how next year's vote could fall. Jones won 10 consecutive Gold Glove Awards at one of the most premier defensive positions. The 2021 vote was the first since 2013 where there wasn't a first-ballot Hall of Famer, but Beltran's part in the 2017 Astros sign-stealing scandal could cause him problems. There are multiple angles from which to analyze the career of Jones. All eligible BBWAA voters have a deadline of Dec. 31 to submit their ballots. Find out more. Win Expectancy, Run Expectancy, and Leverage Index calculations provided by Tom Tango of InsideTheBook.com, and co-author of The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball. He led his league in starts every year from 2012-2014. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. 2023 MLB Hall of Fame Ballot Predictions - The Athletes Hub January 7, 2023 0 453 6 minutes read The end of another calendar year marks the deadline for all eligible voters to submit their ballots for the upcoming 2023 Hall of Fame event. The episode was not found or is unavailable. On January 24th, the Baseball Writers Association of America will unveil what players theyve chosen for Cooperstown. The three-time All-Star won three World Series titles and finished in the Top 12 of NL Cy Young Award voting three times. (National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum). Dates for future Hall of Fame Induction Ceremonies include: 2023: Sunday, July 23 2024: Sunday, July 21 2025: Sunday, July 27 . January 17, 2023 | 00:06:30. Gambling problem? Lets talk and buck that narrative now, shall we? I think they end up keeping him from becoming a first ballot Hall-of-Famer as a quasi-punishment for his involvement with the 2017 Astros, but based on his resume, he is a clear first ballot candidate. Undoubtedly, the link to steroid abuse looms large for three-time AL MVP A-Rod and Manny with his career .996 OPS. He was the premium defender in center for the peak of his career. And yet, when McGriff is on his first committee ballot, not only does he make it, he makes it with 16 out of 16 votes. To be enshrined, players must be named on at least 75% of the Committee members' ballots. Helton has a major case to make it in this year. When it comes to R-JAWS, his case becomes even more clear. (Michael Ponzini/National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum). ET. More Awards Pages Awards Index MVP Cy Young Batting Champs Triple Crowns Gold Gloves National League American League The veterans These are players who. Maybe not the nine for whom I would vote. He did more than enough to overcome that including posting 61.8 bWAR, making five All-Star Games, and finishing in the top 10 of MVP voting three times. Jake Crumpler: As much as Id love to pump up Matt Cains case as a lifetime Giants fan, I cant help but vouch for Francisco Rodrguez. he was inducted into the Hall of Fame in . It feels as though a lot of the voters have drawn the line in the sand in regards to the steroid guys with Bonds and Clemens omissions last year. Any candidate who receives votes on 75 percent of all ballots cast will earn election to the Hall of Fame. 5) Will Helton and Wagner keep trending up? Even so, his case is stellar enough to hike up his vote totals closer to the 75% threshold as he nears the end of his time on the ballot. He hit better than .300 in two seasons, reached 20-homer mark four times and topped 100 RBI once. A player whose career began in 1984, would have a career that ended by the early 2000s and is therefore 10 years removed from playing, and therefore eligble for the Hall of Fame, per the Baseball Writers' Association of America's Hall of Fame elibility rules. For reasons that escape me, there is a sanctity associated with making the Hall of Fame on the first ballot. This legitimacy question mark is sort of a stain on his otherwise Hall of Fame resume. By Anthony Franco | November 7, 2022 at 9:22pm CDT. Bronson Arroyo pitched in 16 seasons with the Pirates, Red Sox, Reds and Diamondbacks. Any candidate who receives votes on 75% of the ballots cast by the 16-member committee will earn election into the National Baseball Hall of Fame and be inducted in Cooperstown on July 23, 2023 . Other notable first-timers are Huston Street, Matt Cain, John Lackey, R.A. Dickey, Jered Weaver, Bronson Arroyo, Jacoby Ellsbury, Andre Ethier, Mike Napoli, Jhonny Peralta, J.J. Hardy and Jayson Werth. Here's a look at what could take place. Davis Byrd: No. Helton is 15th on the list for first basemen, everyone ahead of him not named Rafael Palmeiro is in the Hall or will be one day (i.e. Hall of Fame Reboot Offers Bonds, Clemens, Allen Another Shot One player on the ballot was accused of sexual abuse (Omar Vizquel). 1. Anyway, you cant tell the Story of Baseball without mentioning A-Rod, who wouldve reached 700 home runs had the Yankees not screwed him over, and who still posted 117.6 bWAR. MORE:MLB Power Rankings, post All-Star Break edition. At the end of the day, he's probably not going to be a Hall of Famer. Sign up to receive our daily Morning Lineup to stay in the know about the latest trending topics around Major League Baseball. Sunday will mark the enshrinement of seven players, led by David Ortiz, into the Baseball Hall of Fame. Prev. There was something of a logjam in Hall of Fame voting in recent years, but with Bonds, Clemens, Schilling and Sammy Sosa all leaving the ballot, and David Ortiz being elected on his first ballot in 2022, that could clear the way for other players to gain ground in the voting. Beltrn was a nine-time All-Star, won Rookie of the Year in 99, brought home three Gold Glove Awards and two Silver Slugger Awards. In terms of accolades, his three top-five Cy Young Award finishes ties him for sixth-most among relievers that started fewer than 40 games in their careers. K-Rod finished his career with 437 saves to Wagners 422. I wouldve gone with Mark Buehrle, the longtime lefty pitcher for the White Sox (and, evidently, the Marlins and Blue Jays) over guys like Billy Wagner (#closersareoverrated), Torii Hunter, and Jimmy Rollins. One of the best switch-hitters of all time, Beltrn starred for the Royals, Astros, Mets, Giants, Cardinals and Yankees. These are the seven biggest storylines of the 2022-23 Hall of Fame voting. If youre in, youre in. We present them here for purely educational purposes. From a more advanced perspective, his case takes a hit because of his setbacks in the field. K-Rod, meanwhile, was a reliever, a position voters are historically unkind toward. Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens and Curt Schilling are all off the BBWAA ballot after passing through their 10th and final year of eligibility without being elected to Cooperstown. They'll be on their second, third, fourth, or fifth ballots. For the first time since 2013, the Baseball Writers' Association of America (BBWAA) failed to elect anyone . So why not vote those guys in now? 2023 Top newcomers: Carlos Beltran, Ichiro Suzuki, Chase Utley, Bartolo Colon, Francisco Rodriguez Top holdovers: Vizquel, Rolen, Helton, Sheffield Most likely to be elected: Ortiz, Beltran,. 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